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Asia-Pacific Private Equity Signals Optimism in 2026 with Exit Rebound

Bain & Company's report highlights improving liquidity and positive net distributions in Asia-Pacific private equity for 2026, amid challenges in deal value and fundraising.

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Asia-Pacific Private Equity Shows Signs of Investor Confidence in 2026

Asia-Pacific private equity is entering 2026 with indications of investor confidence, as exit value has rebounded for a second consecutive year and net cash flows to investors have turned positive for the first time since 2021, according to Bain & Company’s Asia-Pacific Private Equity Report 2026. Total deal value fell 8% in 2025, while deal count rose 6%, reflecting a year marked by fluctuating deal activity due to macroeconomic uncertainty, tariff developments, and valuation gaps. Exit value rose 24% year-on-year, and exit count increased 8%, even as fundraising declined to approximately $58 billion, its lowest level in 12 years.

Deal Activity and Sector Dynamics in 2025

Buyouts accounted for approximately half of total deal value in 2025, with the average buyout size declining to around $438 million from approximately $630 million in 2024, as mega buyout activity remained muted. Japan was the only major market to record growth in both deal value (26%) and deal count, supported by corporate governance reforms, carve-outs, and privatizations. Greater China remained the largest deal market in the region with more than 25% share of total deal value, seeing a rebound in deal count after three consecutive years of decline due to improved policy visibility and market sentiment. According to the report, sector dynamics shifted, with technology, media, and telecommunications comprising approximately 25% of deal value—a 10-year low—while advanced manufacturing and services accounted for 22%, energy and natural resources for 15%, healthcare and life sciences for 14%, and retail for 9.2%, buoyed by normalized operating conditions and domestic consumption policies.

Exits emerged as a highlight in 2025, with IPO and open market exit value rising more than 70% compared to 2024, driven by robust IPO markets and strong public market performance, as cited by 56% of surveyed general partners. Trade exits grew more than 60% year-over-year, ranking as the second-largest exit channel, and the value and number of exits greater than $1 billion increased roughly fourfold from 2024, reaching the highest level since 2021. Greater China overtook India to become the region’s largest exit market, with a 76% surge in exit volume and value amid improved investor sentiment, while India’s exit value grew 13% compared to 2024 as investors pursued large deals in richly valued public markets.

Regional Spotlight and Challenges

Japan continued as the region’s hotspot, with growth in deal value and count, while South Korea’s details were mentioned in the report but not fully elaborated. Leading funds are navigating challenges and opportunities presented by AI, as noted in the context of the broader private equity landscape. According to PR Newswire, these trends suggest a more constructive phase for Asia-Pacific private equity, though funds face fundraising pressure, elevated valuations, and macroeconomic uncertainty.

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